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Sherlock Holmes and The Case of the Underestimated U.I. Factor

The world's greatest detective lends his deductive abilities to our investigation of unemployment insurance costs.

  [ 7/1/1999 ]  By: Les Gramkow   Print This Article  Reprint/License This Article  E-mail This Article To A Friend  
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Overheard from the flat at 221b Baker Street: "But Mr. Holmes, I don't understand how you knew that Moriarty Manufacturing Co. would be less profitable than its competitor, AC&D Inc., after they both expanded or relocated their businesses?"

"Elementary my dear Watson. It's simply a case of greater business expenses caused by, among other things, underestimated unemployment insurance costs. Let me explain ...."

Dr. Watson may not be the only one with questions -- or concerns -- about the financial success of relocating or expanding businesses.

"Elementary, my dear Watson. It's simply a case of greater business expenses caused by, among other things, underestimated unemployment insurance costs. "

-- Sherlock Holmes

In a highly competitive business environment of shaved production costs, tight budgets and narrow profit margins, no growing company can afford to disregard any potential impact on the bottom line.

And while employers on the move can't escape regulated employee costs like unemployment insurance regardless of their destination in the U.S., they can find better deals if they put prospective sites under the magnifying glass.

Let's see what Sherlock Holmes' investigation uncovered.

Fact No. 1: State tax rates vary widely
Moriarty Manufacturing assumed UI premium costs would be similar across the states to what it was currently paying. AC&D Inc., knew better.

A closer look by Moriarty would have revealed that, although the UI program is federally mandated, dual federal and state regulation of the program allows premium costs to vary widely between states.

Fact No. 2: Taxable wage bases also vary widely
After correcting its initial assumption, Moriarty made a quick comparison of average employer tax rates by state. AC&D was much more meticulous.

Moriarty at least knew UI taxes were levied on a wage base rather than each employee's total annual earnings, but failed to note that the minimum wage base required by federal law had been increased by all but 11 states.

Further, 20 of the states have a flexible wage base that is recomputed annually based on state average annual or weekly wages, or the balance in the state's unemployment trust fund.

Fact No. 3: Experience factors matter
Despite Moriarty's best efforts, other facts concerning UI continued to elude the site selection team. AC&D, on the other hand, had already investigated another essential factor.

Moriarty failed to appreciate that state employer contributions are normally based on the amount of wages they have paid, the amount they have contributed to the unemployment fund, and the amount that their discharged employees have been compensated from the fund.

The experience factor used to calculate each individual employer's tax rate, or unemployment experience rating, will fall somewhere between the minimum and maximum rates in each state. Average tax rates are only that -- average.

Some employers will pay more than their experience rating would require based on a state minimum UI premium, while others will have premiums capped at a state maximum even if their business practices result in substantial unemployment.

Fact No. 4: New employer tax rates may add to start-up costs
Moriarty was finally gaining an appreciation of experience factors, but AC&D had already compared new employer tax rates and qualifying periods.

Moriarty had yet to realize what happens before the company qualifies for a UI experience rating.

In all but 12 states the new employer tax rate is at least equal to, and usually greater, than the average tax rate. That means higher UI premiums in many states than might otherwise be expected.

Moriarty was clueless that states require anywhere from 12 to 36 months, in some cases more, to qualify for an experience rating. And based on its planned start-up date, Moriarty wouldn't be eligible for an experience computation at the next scheduled computation date, thereby adding a complete computational cycle to its waiting period. This wait would cost Moriarty at least another year of paying UI taxes at the new employer rate.

"So you see my dear Watson, Moriarty Manufacturing Co. was destined to pay more in total employee compensation costs than AC&D Inc., and therefore be less financially competitive after its relocation. For AC&D Inc., unemployment insurance rates and cost estimates were, well, elementary."

Les Gramkow is research editor for Expansion Management Magazine.


State UI Tax Rates, Taxable Wage Bases & Premium Costs
State 1998 Average Percent of Taxable Wages 1999 Taxable Wage Base Average Annual Employee Premium
Alabama1.2$8,000$96
Alaska2.3$24,500$564
Arizona1.3$7,000$91
Arkansas2.0$9,000$180
California3.0$7,000$210
Colorado1.1$10,000$110
Connecticut3.5$15,000$525
Delaware2.3$8,500$196
Florida0.9$7,000$63
Georgia0.9$8,500$77
Hawaii1.8$27,000$486
Idaho1.4$23,600$330
Illinois2.5$9,000$225
Indiana1.4$7,000$98
Iowa0.9$16,500$149
Kansas1.4$8,000$112
Kentucky1.7$8,000$136
Louisiana1.6$7,000$112
Maine3.6$7,000$252
Maryland1.8$8,500$153
Massachusetts3.0$10,800$324
Michigan3.1$9,500$295
Minnesota1.2$18,100$217
Mississippi1.4$7,000$98
Missouri1.7$8,000$136
Montana1.3$17,100$222
Nebraska0.4$7,000$28
Nevada1.4$18,600$260
New Hampshire0.4$8,000$32
New Jersey2.1$20,200$424
New Mexico1.3$14,200$185
New York3.1$8,500$264
North Carolina0.7$13,200$92
North Dakota1.1$15,600$172
Ohio1.6$9,000$144
Oklahoma0.8$12,000$96
Oregon2.1$23,000$483
Pennsylvania3.9$8,000$312
Rhode Island3.7$14,000$518
South Carolina1.5$7,000$105
South Dakota0.6$7,000$42
Tennessee1.5$7,000$105
Texas1.3$9,000$117
Utah0.8$19,400$155
Vermont2.6$8,000$208
Virginia0.6$8,000$48
Washington2.3$24,300$559
West Virginia2.9$8,000$232
Wisconsin2.0$10,500$210
Wyoming1.4$13,100$183
U.S.2.2$7,000*$151


Experience Ratings & New Employer Rates
State 1999 Minimum Rate (%) 1999 New Employee Rate (%) 1999 Maximum Rate (%) Minimum Premium Per Employee New Employer Minimum Premium Maximum Premium Per Employee
Alabama10.352.75.5$28$216$440
Alaska11.02.35.4$254$564$1,323
Arizona10.052.75.4$4$189$378
Arkansas50.52.96.4$45$261$576
California10.73.45.4$49$238$378
Colorado101.75.4$0$170$540
Connecticut10.63.55.5$90$525$825
Delaware30.62.38.5$51$196$723
Florida30.122.75.4$8$189$378
Georgia502.75.4$0$230$459
Hawaii10.23.05.4$54$810$1,458
Idaho10.21.55.4$47$354$1,274
Illinois50.63.16.8$54$279$612
Indiana50.22.75.5$14$189$385
Iowa501.67.0$0$264$1,155
Kansas301.06.0$0$80$480
Kentucky50.1572.79.0$13$216$720
Louisiana50.211.06.26$15$70$438
Maine32.84.07.9$196$280$553
Maryland30.31.07.5$26$85$638
Massachusetts11.3252.1257.225$143$230$780
Michigan30.12.78.1$10$257$770
Minnesota10.11.39.0$18$235$1,629
Mississippi10.42.75.4$28$189$378
Missouri102.76.0$0$216$480
Montana50.11.06.4$17$171$1,094
Nebraska10.053.55.4$4$245$378
Nevada40.252.955.4$47$549$1,004
New Hampshire10.011.26.5$1$96$520
New Jersey50.22.45.4$40$485$1,091
New Mexico50.12.75.4$14$383$767
New York10.63.68.3$51$306$706
North Carolina301.25.7$0$158$752
North Dakota50.22.25.4$31$343$842
Ohio302.76.4$0$243$576
Oklahoma101.05.4$0$120$648
Oregon11.03.05.4$230$690$1,242
Pennsylvania21.4793.59.071$118$280$726
Rhode Island51.712.219.81$239$309$1,373
South Carolina30.542.645.4$38$185$378
South Dakota301.27.7$0$84$539
Tennessee502.710.0$0$189$700
Texas10.242.76.24$22$243$562
Utah10.21.08.0$39$194$1,552
Vermont10.61.05.9$48$80$472
Virginia102.55.4$0$200$432
Washington30.481.05.4$108$243$1,215
West Virginia51.52.78.5$120$216$680
Wisconsin20.022.79.75$2$284$1,024
Wyoming50.271.08.77$35$131$1,149

Qualifying periods for experience rating: Note 1: 12 mos.; 2: 18 mos.; 3: 24 mos.; 4: 30 mos.; 5: 36 mos. Source: U.S. Dept. of Labor, Employment and Training Administration, Unemployment Insurance Service; and the Unemployment Insurance Institute.

 

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